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2016 United States Senate election in North Dakota

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2016 United States Senate election in North Dakota

← 2010 November 8, 2016 2022 →
 
Nominee John Hoeven Eliot Glassheim
Party Republican Democratic–NPL
Popular vote 268,788 58,116
Percentage 78.48% 16.97%

Hoeven:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Glassheim:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. senator before election

John Hoeven
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Hoeven
Republican

The 2016 United States Senate election in North Dakota was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of North Dakota, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held June 14.

Incumbent Republican Senator John Hoeven won re-election to a second term with 78.5% of the vote, the largest margin in the state's history.[1] Hoeven became the first Republican senator to be re-elected from North Dakota since 1974.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Results

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Republican primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Hoeven (incumbent) 103,677 99.57%
Republican Write-in 445 0.43%
Total votes 104,122 100.00%

Democratic-NPL primary

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Candidates

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Results

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Democratic-NPL primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic–NPL Eliot Glassheim 17,243 99.72%
Democratic–NPL Write-in 48 0.28%
Total votes 17,291 100.00%

Libertarian Party

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Candidates

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  • Robert Marquette[4]
Libertarian primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Robert Marquette 1,089 99.54%
Libertarian Write-in 5 0.46%
Total votes 1,094 100.00%

General election

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Debates

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Dates Location Hoeven Glassheim Marquette Link
October 13, 2016 Bismarck, North Dakota Participant Participant Participant [5]

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[6] Safe R November 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Safe R November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[8] Safe R November 3, 2016
Daily Kos[9] Safe R November 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics[10] Safe R November 7, 2016

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Hoeven (R)
Eliot
Glassheim (D)
Undecided
SurveyMonkey[11] November 1–7, 2016 313 ± 4.6% 74% 23% 3%
SurveyMonkey[12] October 31–November 6, 2016 288 ± 4.6% 73% 24% 3%
SurveyMonkey[13] October 28–November 3, 2016 276 ± 4.6% 74% 24% 2%
SurveyMonkey[14] October 27–November 2, 2016 260 ± 4.6% 72% 24% 4%
SurveyMonkey[15] October 26–November 1, 2016 254 ± 4.6% 72% 25% 3%
SurveyMonkey[16] October 25–31, 2016 279 ± 4.6% 71% 27% 2%

Results

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United States Senate election in North Dakota, 2016[17]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican John Hoeven (incumbent) 268,788 78.48% +2.40%
Democratic–NPL Eliot Glassheim 58,116 16.97% −5.20%
Libertarian Robert Marquette 10,556 3.08% +1.45%
Independent James Germalic 4,675 1.36% N/A
Write-in 366 0.11% N/A
Total votes 342,501 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

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References

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  1. ^ a b Jonathan Easley (December 31, 2014). "Is Heitkamp eyeing a run for governor?". The Hill. Retrieved January 6, 2015.
  2. ^ a b c "North Dakota Secretary of State". ND Secretary of State. Retrieved September 22, 2016.
  3. ^ Nowatzki, Mike (April 2, 2016). "ND Democrat Glassheim says he's healthy and ready to run for US Senate". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. Forum Communications. Retrieved April 4, 2016.
  4. ^ Williamson, Brett (November 7, 2015). "Libertarians select slate of candidates for 2016". The Bismarck Tribune. Retrieved December 28, 2015.
  5. ^ Full debate - C-SPAN
  6. ^ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
  7. ^ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  8. ^ "2016 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
  9. ^ "Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version". Daily Kos. Retrieved March 27, 2021.
  10. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
  11. ^ SurveyMonkey
  12. ^ SurveyMonkey
  13. ^ SurveyMonkey
  14. ^ SurveyMonkey
  15. ^ SurveyMonkey
  16. ^ SurveyMonkey
  17. ^ "North Dakota Official Results General Election - November 8, 2016". North Dakota Secretary of State. Retrieved December 20, 2016.
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Official campaign websites